Maribor 3-3 NK Bravo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.68
No
39%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
9.12
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.91 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.8pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Bravo EU Bookmakers 24%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
2.00/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.46
+20% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
397 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY NK Bravo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 NK Bravo NK Bravo 1-1 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
15.02.2025 Maribor Maribor 2-3 HT 2-1 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
20.10.2024 NK Bravo NK Bravo 0-1 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
04.08.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-1 HT 1-0 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
14.04.2024 NK Bravo NK Bravo 1-1 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
22.02.2024 Maribor Maribor 2-1 HT 1-1 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
3-3
AWAY NK Bravo
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maribor vs NK Bravo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor and NK Bravo shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Maribor at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Maribor had 57% of the ball to NK Bravo's 43%, shots finished 18-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Maribor and 1.17 for NK Bravo.

What was the final score of Maribor vs NK Bravo?

Maribor 3-3 NK Bravo in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs NK Bravo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Maribor 49%, draw 26%, NK Bravo 25%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maribor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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