Avusturya (K) 0-1 Polonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.15
Over 2.5
64%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-8.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
43%
-6.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
57%
+6.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avusturya (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonya (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+55% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
423 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
32.0 Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avusturya (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Polonya (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.97 xG 0.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
275 Passes 221
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
35 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.11.2024 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) KAVŞE
12.07.2024 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) KAVŞE
09.04.2024 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 1-3 HT 0-1 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) KAVŞE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avusturya (K)
0-1
AWAY Polonya (K)
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avusturya (K) vs Polonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya (K) edged past Avusturya (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Avusturya (K) carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avusturya (K) had 64% of the ball to Polonya (K)'s 36%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Avusturya (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Avusturya (K) and 1.00 for Polonya (K).

What was the final score of Avusturya (K) vs Polonya (K)?

Avusturya (K) 0-1 Polonya (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avusturya (K) vs Polonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avusturya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Avusturya (K) 56%, draw 24%, Polonya (K) 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avusturya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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