Atalanta vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atalanta v Genoa — Team-Based Signals
Atalanta vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atalanta 4-0 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics
Atalanta ran out comfortable winners over Genoa 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 54% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.74, roughly 57%.
On the day, Atalanta had 66% of the ball to Genoa's 34%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 3.04 to 0.18.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Atalanta and 0.67 for Genoa.
Atalanta vs Genoa Result & Final Score
Atalanta 4 - 0 Genoa in the Italy - Cup on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atalanta vs Genoa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 68%, draw 19%, Genoa 13%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.