Union Berlin 2-3 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
5.91
Draw
16%
4.62
Away Pick
73%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.29
Over
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.84
No
49%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
17%
4.48
2-3
42%
1.9
4-5
30%
2.84
6+
11%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
13.0
1/2
4%
21.2
1/X
3%
21.7
X/1
4%
15.7
X/2
21%
3.92
X/X
9%
7.35
2/1
1%
35.0
2/2
49%
1.63
2/X
3%
18.8
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Union Berlin The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih The Market 72%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.84 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.84
1.82 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.92
Bad Attack Strength Average
Bad Defense Strength Weak
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 502 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41
Crosses 16
Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Berlin
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.67 xG 2.10
27% Ball Possession 73%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
203 Passes 689
70% Pass Accuracy 90%
19 Box Touches 41
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Union Berlin Union Berlin 2-2 HT 1-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
15.03.2025 Union Berlin Union Berlin 1-1 HT 0-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
02.11.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-0 HT 2-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
20.04.2024 Union Berlin Union Berlin 1-5 HT 0-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
24.01.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
26.02.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-0 HT 3-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Berlin
2 - 3
AWAY Bayern Münih
3.00 xG 0.84
40% Ball Possession 60%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
187 Passes 333
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Union Berlin vs Bayern Münih
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bayern Münih found just enough to beat Union Berlin 3-2 on their travels. Half-time: 1-3. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (63%) landed.

On the day, Union Berlin had 40% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 60%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 3.00 to 0.84 — the balance of chances actually favoured Union Berlin.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Union Berlin and 2.50 for Bayern Münih.

Union Berlin vs Bayern Münih Result & Final Score

Union Berlin 2 - 3 Bayern Münih in the Germany - DFB Cup on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Union Berlin vs Bayern Münih Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 11%, draw 15%, Bayern Münih 73%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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