PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PEC Zwolle v AZ Alkmaar — Team-Based Signals
PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
2-1
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
PEC Zwolle 1-3 AZ Alkmaar — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar saw off PEC Zwolle 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, PEC Zwolle had 43% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 57%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.26 to 1.16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for PEC Zwolle and 2.00 for AZ Alkmaar.
What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar?
PEC Zwolle 1-3 AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar?
Before kick-off our model rated an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 23%, draw 19%, AZ Alkmaar 57%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.