AZ Alkmaar 2-0 PEC Zwolle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.6
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.85
X/1
20%
3.81
X/2
8%
15.55
X/X
7%
7.17
2/1
8%
21.1
2/2
7%
13.0
2/X
9%
21.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-11.0pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.1pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.24/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.49
-3% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
456 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
36.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
20.2 Crosses 11.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar
3W-2D-1L
AWAY PEC Zwolle
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 1.18
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
435 Passes 305
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-2 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
20.01.2024 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 2-2 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
24.09.2023 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-3 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
10.04.2022 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 2-1 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
30.10.2021 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3-2 HT 2-2 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
09.01.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-1 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar
2-0
AWAY PEC Zwolle
1.51 xG 0.69
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
368 Passes 369
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ Alkmaar got the better of PEC Zwolle 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 51% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 49%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.51 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.33 for PEC Zwolle.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle?

AZ Alkmaar 2-0 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle?

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 58%, draw 23%, PEC Zwolle 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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