RKC Waalwijk 5-0 NAC Breda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 9 Feb 2025

RKC Waalwijk
5-0 HT 3-0
NAC Breda
📅09/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

RKC Waalwijk vs NAC Breda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.08
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.0
X/1
17%
5.46
X/2
12%
6.71
X/X
14%
5.23
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
13%
4.26
2/X
5%
12.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RKC Waalwijk v NAC Breda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -15%
1.53/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.64
+17% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.0 Crosses 15.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

RKC Waalwijk vs NAC Breda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
4W-0D-2L
AWAY NAC Breda
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.71 xG 2.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
227 Passes 453
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.10.2024 NAC Breda NAC Breda 4-1 HT 2-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
19.07.2023 NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-3 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HAZ
23.07.2019 NAC Breda NAC Breda 0-2 HT 0-2 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HAZ
25.09.2018 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-0 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOK
10.02.2017 NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-3 HT 1-2 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
16.09.2016 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-4 HT 1-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2

RKC Waalwijk 5-0 NAC Breda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
5-0
AWAY NAC Breda
3.75 xG 1.18
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
351 Passes 297
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs NAC Breda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC Waalwijk swept aside NAC Breda 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; RKC Waalwijk found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 52% of the ball to NAC Breda's 48%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 3.75 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RKC Waalwijk had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 2.00 for NAC Breda.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs NAC Breda?

RKC Waalwijk 5-0 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs NAC Breda?

Before kick-off our model rated a RKC Waalwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 40%, draw 27%, NAC Breda 33%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RKC Waalwijk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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