Heerenveen 3-3 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.03
6+ Goals
13%
9.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.04
1/2
9%
22.55
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
12%
7.3
X/2
12%
4.92
X/X
13%
5.18
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
16%
2.74
2/X
7%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+7.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.6pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.40/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.23
+13% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
15.3 Crosses 21.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Twente
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.96 xG 2.18
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
270 Passes 415
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2024 Twente Twente 2-0 HT 2-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
03.04.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 3-3 HT 2-3 Twente Twente HOL
30.09.2023 Twente Twente 1-0 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
04.06.2023 Twente Twente 4-0 HT 3-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
01.06.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-2 HT 1-1 Twente Twente HOL
04.03.2023 Twente Twente 3-3 HT 1-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen
3-3
AWAY Twente
1.81 xG 1.14
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
437 Passes 195
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 8
47 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Heerenveen vs Twente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heerenveen and Twente shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Heerenveen had 67% of the ball to Twente's 33%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 1.81 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Heerenveen and 2.50 for Twente.

What was the final score of Heerenveen vs Twente?

Heerenveen 3-3 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen 36%, draw 26%, Twente 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Twente) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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