Utrecht 0-1 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.68
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.45
X/1
19%
3.89
X/2
9%
14.2
X/X
7%
6.68
2/1
7%
21.25
2/2
8%
11.8
2/X
7%
20.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.99/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.81
-14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
376 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
25.5 Crosses 16.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Almere City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.37 xG 1.19
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
290 Passes 277
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Almere City Almere City 1-3 HT 0-2 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
09.03.2024 Almere City Almere City 1-1 HT 1-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
30.09.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 0-2 HT 0-0 Almere City Almere City HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht
0-1
AWAY Almere City
1.02 xG 0.93
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
373 Passes 215
79% Pass Accuracy 66%
27 Box Touches 22
30 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Utrecht vs Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almere City nicked a narrow win over Utrecht 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Utrecht at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Utrecht had 59% of the ball to Almere City's 41%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.02 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Utrecht and 1.33 for Almere City.

What was the final score of Utrecht vs Almere City?

Utrecht 0-1 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht vs Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 56%, draw 22%, Almere City 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Utrecht), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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