Wrexham 1-0 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 4 Jan 2025

Wrexham
1-0 HT 0-0
Peterborough United
📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Wrexham vs Peterborough United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
8.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.1
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.45
X/1
18%
4.03
X/2
10%
9.89
X/X
13%
6.08
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.1
2/2
9%
7.16
2/X
7%
15.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.1 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.4pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.2pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wrexham v Peterborough United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 24%
+13% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.25/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.78
+33% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
18.6 Crosses 21.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Wrexham vs Peterborough United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Peterborough United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 0.44
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
182 Passes 564
69% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.08.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-2 HT 0-2 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
26.02.2008 Wrexham Wrexham 0-2 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN2
09.02.2008 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-0 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
10.02.2007 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-0 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
12.08.2006 Wrexham Wrexham 0-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN2
19.11.2005 Wrexham Wrexham 1-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN2

Wrexham 1-0 Peterborough United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
1-0
AWAY Peterborough United
0.95 xG 1.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 6
268 Passes 303
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham edged past Peterborough United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wrexham as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wrexham had 48% of the ball to Peterborough United's 52%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 0.95 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Wrexham and 1.00 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Peterborough United?

Wrexham 1-0 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 46%, draw 27%, Peterborough United 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wrexham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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