Cambridge United 0-1 Bristol Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
18.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.75
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
15%
4.25
X/2
10%
7.32
X/X
13%
4.47
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
9%
5.84
2/X
7%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.43/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.33
+0% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
263 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 68%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.8 Crosses 15.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Bristol Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.08 xG 1.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
281 Passes 321
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2024 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
16.04.2024 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
19.08.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-0 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
07.01.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-2 HT 1-2 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
08.10.2022 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
08.08.2017 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4-1 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
0-1
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.59 xG 0.68
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
212 Passes 261
67% Pass Accuracy 69%
35 Box Touches 12
32 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Bristol Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol Rovers squeezed past Cambridge United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Cambridge United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cambridge United had 47% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 53%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.59 to 0.68 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cambridge United.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol Rovers led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cambridge United and 1.83 for Bristol Rovers.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Bristol Rovers?

Cambridge United 0-1 Bristol Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Bristol Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambridge United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 46%, draw 27%, Bristol Rovers 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cambridge United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambridge United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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