Bristol Rovers 2-0 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.99
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.9
6+ Goals
8%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 29% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.91
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
20%
4.52
X/2
8%
6.83
X/X
14%
4.41
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
13%
5.18
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.0pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.35/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.14
+9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 68%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.0 Crosses 18.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol Rovers
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Cambridge United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.14 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
346 Passes 238
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2024 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
19.08.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-0 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
07.01.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-2 HT 1-2 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
08.10.2022 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
08.08.2017 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4-1 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İNLK
25.03.2016 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 3-0 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol Rovers
2-0
AWAY Cambridge United
0.65 xG 0.96
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 8
220 Passes 454
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 13
10 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol Rovers got the better of Cambridge United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bristol Rovers as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Bristol Rovers had 35% of the ball to Cambridge United's 65%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.65 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol Rovers had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bristol Rovers and 0.83 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United?

Bristol Rovers 2-0 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bristol Rovers 43%, draw 30%, Cambridge United 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bristol Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bristol Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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