Leyton Orient 1-0 Shrewsbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
15.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.66 — our 24% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.01
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.35
X/1
15%
3.62
X/2
6%
11.4
X/X
10%
5.11
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
9%
9.76
2/X
7%
18.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.82/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.49
+2% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 63%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
20.3 Crosses 15.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Shrewsbury
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.73 xG 1.33
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
430 Passes 142
78% Pass Accuracy 55%
17 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 3-0 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
23.09.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
07.01.2014 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-2 HT 0-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
10.08.2013 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 3-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
09.03.2013 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-2 HT 0-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
10.11.2012 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-1 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
1-0
AWAY Shrewsbury
1.14 xG 0.41
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 7
408 Passes 121
79% Pass Accuracy 52%
33 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Shrewsbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient edged past Shrewsbury 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leyton Orient as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 69% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 31%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.14 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leyton Orient had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Leyton Orient and 0.67 for Shrewsbury.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Shrewsbury?

Leyton Orient 1-0 Shrewsbury in the England - 1st Division on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Shrewsbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 53%, draw 26%, Shrewsbury 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leyton Orient), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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