Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 Canberra United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 4 Jan 2025

Brisbane Roar (K)
1-2 HT 0-0
Canberra United (K)
📅04/01/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Brisbane Roar (K) vs Canberra United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.63
No
59%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
70%
-7.6pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.1pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
57%
-16.0pp
59%
BTTS No
43%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brisbane Roar (K) v Canberra United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.55/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/2.69
-8% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / -29%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
313 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 77%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.0 Crosses 12.4
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.3

Brisbane Roar (K) vs Canberra United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Canberra United (K)
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.70 xG 1.19
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
315 Passes 239
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 3-2 HT 2-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
30.03.2024 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 HT 1-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
10.12.2023 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 5-1 HT 3-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
05.12.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
25.01.2019 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 4-1 HT 2-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
27.12.2018 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW

Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 Canberra United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
1-2
AWAY Canberra United (K)
1.39 xG 1.37
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
340 Passes 192
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
14 Box Touches 7
17 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar (K) vs Canberra United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra United (K) edged past Brisbane Roar (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Brisbane Roar (K) carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brisbane Roar (K) had 62% of the ball to Canberra United (K)'s 38%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.39 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra United (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Brisbane Roar (K) and 2.17 for Canberra United (K).

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 Canberra United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 62%, draw 21%, Canberra United (K) 17%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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