Sestao River vs Amorebieta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sestao River v Amorebieta — Team-Based Signals
Sestao River vs Amorebieta Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Sestao River 1-2 Amorebieta — Actual Match Statistics
Amorebieta squeezed past Sestao River 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Sestao River at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sestao River had 57% of the ball to Amorebieta's 43%, shots finished 18-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sestao River and 1.00 for Amorebieta.
What was the final score of Sestao River vs Amorebieta?
Sestao River 1-2 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Amorebieta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 53%, draw 26%, Amorebieta 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.