Inter 3-1 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 4 Jan 2026

Inter
3 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Bologna
📅04/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
69%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
12%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.1
Over
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.97
2-3
45%
1.85
4-5
26%
3.05
6+
8%
9.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.72
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
4%
17.9
X/1
22%
3.91
X/2
5%
14.35
X/X
11%
6.59
2/1
4%
22.25
2/2
6%
12.15
2/X
4%
20.6
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Inter The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna The Market 17%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.39 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.84
0.80 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.81
Strong Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
30 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bologna
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.31 xG 0.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
418 Passes 372
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.12.2025 Bologna Bologna 1-1 HT 1-1 Inter Inter İTSK
20.04.2025 Bologna Bologna 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
15.01.2025 Inter Inter 2-2 HT 2-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
09.03.2024 Bologna Bologna 0-1 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
20.12.2023 Inter Inter 1-2 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTK
07.10.2023 Inter Inter 2-2 HT 2-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
3 - 1
AWAY Bologna
2.93 xG 0.97
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
392 Passes 266
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Inter vs Bologna
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Inter beat Bologna 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (56%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 58% to 42% in Inter's favour, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.93 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Inter against 1.33 for Bologna.

Inter vs Bologna Result & Final Score

Inter 3 - 1 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Inter vs Bologna Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Inter 69%, draw 19%, Bologna 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5
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