CD Aguilas 0-1 Linense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.2pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Linense EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
0.96/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-24% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Aguilas
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Linense
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Linense Linense 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Aguilas
0-1
AWAY Linense
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CD Aguilas vs Linense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linense squeezed past CD Aguilas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CD Aguilas at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, CD Aguilas had 60% of the ball to Linense's 40%, shots finished 10-6.

What was the final score of CD Aguilas vs Linense?

CD Aguilas 0-1 Linense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Aguilas vs Linense?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Aguilas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CD Aguilas 44%, draw 29%, Linense 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CD Aguilas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Aguilas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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