Atlas U23 3-2 Santos Laguna U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
70%
-13.4pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.5pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlas U23 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos Laguna U23 EU Bookmakers 16%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-47% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
409 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Atlas U23 vs Santos Laguna U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlas U23 squeezed past Santos Laguna U23 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atlas U23 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Atlas U23 vs Santos Laguna U23?

Atlas U23 3-2 Santos Laguna U23 in the Mexico - Primera A on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlas U23 vs Santos Laguna U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlas U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Atlas U23 57%, draw 21%, Santos Laguna U23 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlas U23) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlas U23) ✗ BTTS No
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