04/02/2024
·
03:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Lobos ULMX vs Aguacateros de Periban Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
28%
Draw
29%
36%
Away Win
29%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lobos ULMX v Aguacateros de Periban — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lobos ULMX
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Aguacateros de Periban
EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
341 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
290 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Lobos ULMX vs Aguacateros de Periban
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Aguacateros de Periban beat Lobos ULMX 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Aguacateros de Periban found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Lobos ULMX vs Aguacateros de Periban?
Lobos ULMX 0-2 Aguacateros de Periban in the Mexico - Primera A on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lobos ULMX vs Aguacateros de Periban?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lobos ULMX win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lobos ULMX 36%, draw 28%, Aguacateros de Periban 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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MEK2
More Mexico - Primera A
4 Feb 2024