Tritons Vallarta 0-1 Chihuahua FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.3pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.7pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tritons Vallarta EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Chihuahua FC EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Tritons Vallarta vs Chihuahua FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chihuahua FC edged past Tritons Vallarta 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Tritons Vallarta at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Tritons Vallarta vs Chihuahua FC?

Tritons Vallarta 0-1 Chihuahua FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tritons Vallarta vs Chihuahua FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tritons Vallarta win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tritons Vallarta 49%, draw 22%, Chihuahua FC 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tritons Vallarta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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