Halcones de Zapopan 1-1 Irapuato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halcones de Zapopan EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Irapuato EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
476 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Halcones de Zapopan vs Irapuato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halcones de Zapopan and Irapuato shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Halcones de Zapopan at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Halcones de Zapopan vs Irapuato?

Halcones de Zapopan 1-1 Irapuato in the Mexico - Primera A on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halcones de Zapopan vs Irapuato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Halcones de Zapopan win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Halcones de Zapopan 58%, draw 25%, Irapuato 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Halcones de Zapopan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Halcones de Zapopan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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