04/02/2024
·
02:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
3-0
Escorpiones vs Cafetaleros de Chiapas Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
26%
Draw
27%
25%
Away Win
20%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Escorpiones v Cafetaleros de Chiapas — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Escorpiones
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Cafetaleros de Chiapas
EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
10
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
4
345 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
273 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Escorpiones vs Cafetaleros de Chiapas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Escorpiones edged past Cafetaleros de Chiapas 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Escorpiones as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Escorpiones vs Cafetaleros de Chiapas?
Escorpiones 1-0 Cafetaleros de Chiapas in the Mexico - Primera A on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Escorpiones vs Cafetaleros de Chiapas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Escorpiones win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Escorpiones 48%, draw 26%, Cafetaleros de Chiapas 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Escorpiones), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Escorpiones)
✓ BTTS No
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