Rotherham United 1-0 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.89
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.24
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
14%
4.99
X/2
10%
6.24
X/X
12%
4.53
2/1
12%
27.0
2/2
18%
4.55
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.39/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.13
-10% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
258 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 70%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
29.3 Crosses 15.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotherham United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.00 xG 0.95
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
177 Passes 203
61% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2024 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
25.05.2014 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-2 HT 2-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
01.02.2014 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-1 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
26.10.2013 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 1-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
30.12.2006 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-2 HT 0-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
23.09.2006 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-3 HT 1-2 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotherham United
1-0
AWAY Leyton Orient
0.95 xG 1.47
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
180 Passes 360
65% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 30
29 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rotherham United vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rotherham United edged past Leyton Orient 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rotherham United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Rotherham United had 40% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 60%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.95 to 1.47 — on chances, Leyton Orient could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rotherham United and 1.50 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Rotherham United vs Leyton Orient?

Rotherham United 1-0 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotherham United vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rotherham United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rotherham United 41%, draw 26%, Leyton Orient 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rotherham United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rotherham United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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