Sporting San Jose 2-1 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.92/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.41
+16% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting San Jose
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Guanacasteca
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-1 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
04.08.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-2 HT 1-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
01.04.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 3-2 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
25.01.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 4-2 HT 2-2 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
22.10.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
21.08.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-1 HT 2-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting San Jose
2-1
AWAY Guanacasteca
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting San Jose vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting San Jose nicked a narrow win over Guanacasteca 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting San Jose as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting San Jose had 48% of the ball to Guanacasteca's 52%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guanacasteca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sporting San Jose and 2.33 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of Sporting San Jose vs Guanacasteca?

Sporting San Jose 2-1 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting San Jose vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting San Jose win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting San Jose 42%, draw 31%, Guanacasteca 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting San Jose) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting San Jose) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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