Aberdeen 1-2 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 4 Mar 2026

Aberdeen
1 - 2 HT 1 - 1
Celtic
📅04/03/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Aberdeen vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.13
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
61%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.29
Over Pick
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.57
No
42%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.56
2-3
42%
1.88
4-5
29%
2.74
6+
11%
7.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.28
1/2
4%
19.9
1/X
5%
15.35
X/1
6%
10.0
X/2
19%
4.34
X/X
11%
6.14
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
38%
2.03
2/X
5%
13.9
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Aberdeen v Celtic — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Aberdeen The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic The Market 61%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
0.94 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.91
2.07 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.00
Average Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Weak
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
218 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 83%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2

Aberdeen vs Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Celtic
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.78 xG 2.63
27% Ball Possession 73%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
202 Passes 716
70% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Box Touches 39
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.12.2025 Celtic Celtic 3-1 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
10.08.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
24.05.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-1 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKK
14.05.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-5 HT 1-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
25.02.2025 Celtic Celtic 5-1 HT 3-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
04.12.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-1 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP

Aberdeen 1-2 Celtic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
1 - 2
AWAY Celtic
1.42 xG 1.90
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
275 Passes 541
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 41
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Aberdeen vs Celtic
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Celtic nicked a narrow win over Aberdeen 2-1 on their travels. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Aberdeen had 38% of the ball to Celtic's 62%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 1.42 to 1.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aberdeen and 2.83 for Celtic.

Aberdeen vs Celtic Result & Final Score

Aberdeen 1 - 2 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aberdeen vs Celtic Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 18%, draw 21%, Celtic 61%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →