Aberdeen 1-1 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
9.57
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
55%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
8%
+14.7pp
22%
Draw
15%
+7.2pp
55%
Away Win
77%
-21.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.4pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 81%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
2.52/3.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.30/2.52
+150% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +0%
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
229 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 527 · 86%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.2
27.0 Crosses 23.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Celtic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
1.33 xG 2.81
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
231 Passes 664
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 42
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.05.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-5 HT 1-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
25.02.2025 Celtic Celtic 5-1 HT 3-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
04.12.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-1 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
02.11.2024 Celtic Celtic 6-0 HT 3-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
19.10.2024 Celtic Celtic 2-2 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
20.04.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-3 HT 1-1 Celtic Celtic İKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
1-1
AWAY Celtic
0.42 xG 1.96
19% Ball Possession 81%
5 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 15
146 Passes 974
62% Pass Accuracy 92%
13 Box Touches 46
12 Crosses 41
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen and Celtic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Celtic carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aberdeen had 19% of the ball to Celtic's 81%, shots finished 5-21, expected goals 0.42 to 1.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aberdeen and 3.67 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Celtic?

Aberdeen 1-1 Celtic in the Scotland - Cup on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 23%, draw 22%, Celtic 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celtic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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