Celtic 3-1 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.99
4-5 Goals
25%
2.65
6+ Goals
10%
6.46
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.22 — our 26% vs market 14.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.68
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
17.6
X/1
15%
4.07
X/2
5%
14.3
X/X
7%
7.71
2/1
11%
19.5
2/2
6%
11.0
2/X
5%
19.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
66%
-0.1pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.1pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.8pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.92/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.49
+22% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -6%
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
460 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 75%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.6 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Aberdeen
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.21 xG 0.75
73% Ball Possession 27%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
731 Passes 204
90% Pass Accuracy 70%
35 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
24.05.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-1 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKK
14.05.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-5 HT 1-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
25.02.2025 Celtic Celtic 5-1 HT 3-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
04.12.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-1 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
02.11.2024 Celtic Celtic 6-0 HT 3-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
3-1
AWAY Aberdeen
4.72 xG 0.91
73% Ball Possession 27%
31 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
640 Passes 187
91% Pass Accuracy 70%
60 Box Touches 17
39 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic saw off Aberdeen 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Celtic had 73% of the ball to Aberdeen's 27%, shots finished 31-10, expected goals 4.72 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Celtic and 0.50 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Aberdeen?

Celtic 3-1 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Celtic 66%, draw 19%, Aberdeen 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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