Hearts 2-1 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 30% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.99
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
11%
4.86
X/2
15%
6.97
X/X
10%
4.54
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
13%
5.22
2/X
9%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+8.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.44/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.66
+8% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 65%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
21.9 Crosses 13.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rangers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.61 xG 1.49
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
270 Passes 390
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2025 Rangers Rangers 0-2 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
16.02.2025 Hearts Hearts 1-3 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
10.11.2024 Rangers Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
03.08.2024 Hearts Hearts 0-0 HT 0-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
18.05.2024 Hearts Hearts 3-3 HT 1-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
21.04.2024 Rangers Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
2-1
AWAY Rangers
1.70 xG 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 10
232 Passes 326
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts nicked a narrow win over Rangers 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Hearts made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hearts had 42% of the ball to Rangers's 58%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.70 to 2.33 — the balance of chances actually favoured Rangers.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hearts and 1.50 for Rangers.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Rangers?

Hearts 2-1 Rangers in the Scotland - Premiership on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hearts 36%, draw 27%, Rangers 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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