Carrarese 3-3 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 4 Mar 2026

Carrarese
3 - 3 HT 1 - 2
Catanzaro
📅04/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Carrarese vs Catanzaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.71
Over
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.8
2-3
47%
1.73
4-5
20%
3.86
6+
4%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.33
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
12.2
X/1
15%
5.25
X/2
11%
6.47
X/X
22%
4.03
2/1
3%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.64
2/X
5%
12.6
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Carrarese v Catanzaro — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Carrarese The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro The Market 33%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.54 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
0.89 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.24
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Carrarese vs Catanzaro Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Catanzaro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.01 xG 1.29
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
298 Passes 372
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.09.2025 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-1 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTB
12.04.2025 Carrarese Carrarese 2-2 HT 1-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
01.09.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-1 HT 2-1 Carrarese Carrarese İTB

Carrarese 3-3 Catanzaro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
3 - 3
AWAY Catanzaro
1.54 xG 1.98
45% Ball Possession 55%
22 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
353 Passes 459
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
30 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Carrarese vs Catanzaro
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Carrarese and Catanzaro traded blows to a 3-3 standstill. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

A draw from a 40% / 32% / 28% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, Carrarese had 45% of the ball to Catanzaro's 55%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 1.54 to 1.98.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Catanzaro led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Carrarese and 2.00 for Catanzaro.

Carrarese vs Catanzaro Result & Final Score

Carrarese 3 - 3 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Carrarese vs Catanzaro Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 40%, draw 32%, Catanzaro 28%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carrarese), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carrarese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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