Palermo 2-1 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 4 Mar 2026

Palermo
2 - 1 HT 2 - 0
Mantova
📅04/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Palermo vs Mantova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
15%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.0
Over
53%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.84
No
49%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.56
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
24%
3.16
6+
6%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.86
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
4%
16.0
X/1
21%
3.92
X/2
6%
11.65
X/X
12%
5.79
2/1 ✗
3%
22.25
2/2
7%
9.66
2/X
4%
18.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 3% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Palermo v Mantova — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Palermo The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova The Market 20%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
2.08 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.00
0.80 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.94
Average Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Weak
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
28 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Palermo vs Mantova Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Mantova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 0.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
234 Passes 419
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.01.2026 Mantova Mantova 1-1 HT 0-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
16.02.2025 Palermo Palermo 2-2 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
30.10.2024 Mantova Mantova 0-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB

Palermo 2-1 Mantova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
2 - 1
AWAY Mantova
1.48 xG 1.05
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
297 Passes 252
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
34 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Palermo vs Mantova
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Palermo nicked a narrow win over Mantova 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Palermo as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 53% and both teams to score at 51%.

By the numbers, possession split 54% to 46% in Palermo's favour, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.48 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Palermo against 1.00 for Mantova.

Palermo vs Mantova Result & Final Score

Palermo 2 - 1 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Palermo vs Mantova Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Palermo 66%, draw 20%, Mantova 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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