Polokwane City 1-2 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 4 Mar 2026

📅04/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.38
Over 2.5
36%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.6
No
60%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
6.38
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+2.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-1.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
69%
-4.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
31%
+4.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
+5.2pp
60%
BTTS No
66%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 57%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
0.86/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.64
+35% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +8%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
230 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
10.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
12.6 Crosses 16.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polokwane City
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.38 xG 1.31
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
192 Passes 405
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2025 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 1-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
02.08.2025 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-0 HT 2-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAF8K
05.04.2025 Polokwane City Polokwane City 0-1 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
24.09.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 3-0 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
02.03.2024 Polokwane City Polokwane City 0-1 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
27.10.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-1 HT 1-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polokwane City
1-2
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.19 xG 3.69
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 29
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 10
165 Passes 334
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
6 Box Touches 41
9 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Polokwane City vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates edged past Polokwane City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Polokwane City had 37% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 63%, shots finished 5-29, expected goals 0.19 to 3.69 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Orlando Pirates's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Polokwane City and 1.50 for Orlando Pirates.

What was the final score of Polokwane City vs Orlando Pirates?

Polokwane City 1-2 Orlando Pirates in the South Afrika - Premier League on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polokwane City vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Polokwane City 20%, draw 28%, Orlando Pirates 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAFPSL More South Afrika - Premier League
4 Mar 2026
20:30 AmaZulu vs Magesi Analysis →
20:30 Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows Analysis →
20:30 Durban City vs Sekhukhune United Analysis →
20:30 Chippa United vs Marumo Gallants Analysis →