Apotheos 0-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.95
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
62%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.43
Over 2.5
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
29%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+9.9pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.7pp
61%
Away Win
75%
-13.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.0pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Apotheos EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 80%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
232 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 490 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Apotheos
0-1
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
0.23 xG 1.42
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 7
178 Passes 404
65% Pass Accuracy 81%
4 Box Touches 28
6 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Apotheos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chattanooga Red Wolves squeezed past Apotheos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chattanooga Red Wolves as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Apotheos had 35% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 65%, shots finished 4-10, expected goals 0.23 to 1.42.

What was the final score of Apotheos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Apotheos 0-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - Open Cup on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Apotheos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chattanooga Red Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Apotheos 19%, draw 19%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 61%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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