Chicago Fire II 2-0 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+6.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-7.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chicago Fire II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chicago Fire II
2-0
AWAY Forward Madison
0.72 xG 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
363 Passes 316
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 4
12 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chicago Fire II vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chicago Fire II got the better of Forward Madison 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Chicago Fire II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Chicago Fire II had 53% of the ball to Forward Madison's 47%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.72 to 0.50.

What was the final score of Chicago Fire II vs Forward Madison?

Chicago Fire II 2-0 Forward Madison in the USA - Open Cup on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chicago Fire II vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire II 36%, draw 27%, Forward Madison 37%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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