Union Omaha 3-1 Des Moines Menace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.25
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
21%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
76%
-15.9pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.9pp
22%
Away Win
8%
+13.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Des Moines Menace EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
517 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
3-1
AWAY Des Moines Menace
1.35 xG 0.96
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 2
396 Passes 262
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
36 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Des Moines Menace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha saw off Des Moines Menace 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Union Omaha had 59% of the ball to Des Moines Menace's 41%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.35 to 0.96.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Des Moines Menace?

Union Omaha 3-1 Des Moines Menace in the USA - Open Cup on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Des Moines Menace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 60%, draw 19%, Des Moines Menace 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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