Vermont Green 1-2 Carolina Core — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.29
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
27%
+11.5pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.0pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vermont Green EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Carolina Core EU Bookmakers 51%
+58% / +58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 79%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vermont Green
1-2
AWAY Carolina Core
1.39 xG 2.22
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
259 Passes 341
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Vermont Green vs Carolina Core
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carolina Core edged past Vermont Green 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 20% / 42% — and on the day Carolina Core made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Vermont Green had 45% of the ball to Carolina Core's 55%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.39 to 2.22.

What was the final score of Vermont Green vs Carolina Core?

Vermont Green 1-2 Carolina Core in the USA - Open Cup on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vermont Green vs Carolina Core?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carolina Core win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vermont Green 39%, draw 20%, Carolina Core 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carolina Core), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carolina Core) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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