Rapids II vs Northern Colorado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rapids II v Northern Colorado — Team-Based Signals
Rapids II 2-3 Northern Colorado — Actual Match Statistics
Northern Colorado nicked a narrow win over Rapids II 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Northern Colorado as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Rapids II had 55% of the ball to Northern Colorado's 45%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.84 to 2.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Northern Colorado's control.
What was the final score of Rapids II vs Northern Colorado?
Rapids II 2-3 Northern Colorado in the USA - Open Cup on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rapids II vs Northern Colorado?
Before kick-off our model rated an Northern Colorado win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rapids II 30%, draw 22%, Northern Colorado 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northern Colorado), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.