Aarau vs Stade Ouchy Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aarau v Stade Ouchy — Team-Based Signals
Aarau vs Stade Ouchy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-4
HT 1-3
Aarau
İSV2
2-3
HT 0-1
Stade Ouchy
İSV2
2-1
HT 1-0
Aarau
İSV2
Aarau 2-2 Stade Ouchy — Actual Match Statistics
Aarau and Stade Ouchy couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Aarau at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Aarau had 48% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 52%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.20 to 1.95.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Aarau and 1.83 for Stade Ouchy.
What was the final score of Aarau vs Stade Ouchy?
Aarau 2-2 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aarau vs Stade Ouchy?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aarau 47%, draw 26%, Stade Ouchy 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.