Thun 3-0 FC Schaffhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.34
Draw
30%
4.62
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
7.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.3 — our 23% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
70%
-14.9pp
30%
Draw
18%
+11.3pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.91/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.85
+13% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
376 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 84%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
21.5 Crosses 14.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.63 xG 0.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 Passes 253
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2025 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-3 HT 0-1 Thun Thun İSV2
27.10.2024 Thun Thun 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
30.08.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-2 HT 2-1 Thun Thun İSV2
11.05.2024 Thun Thun 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
09.02.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 1-1 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
11.11.2023 Thun Thun 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
3-0
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
0.91 xG 1.07
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
252 Passes 277
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Thun vs FC Schaffhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun ran out comfortable winners over FC Schaffhausen 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Thun had 48% of the ball to FC Schaffhausen's 52%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.91 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Thun and 1.00 for FC Schaffhausen.

What was the final score of Thun vs FC Schaffhausen?

Thun 3-0 FC Schaffhausen in the Switzerland Challenge League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs FC Schaffhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Thun 55%, draw 30%, FC Schaffhausen 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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