Boulogne 1-2 Rouen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No OUR CALL
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.32
6+ Goals
8%
22.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.01
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
16%
4.7
X/2
11%
7.14
X/X
14%
4.06
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
11%
5.72
2/X
8%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boulogne EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Rouen EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.28/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.26
-10% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
275 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boulogne
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rouen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
08.11.2024 Rouen Rouen 3-1 HT 1-1 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boulogne
1-2
AWAY Rouen
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Boulogne vs Rouen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rouen nicked a narrow win over Boulogne 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Boulogne at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Boulogne had 56% of the ball to Rouen's 44%, shots finished 8-6.

What was the final score of Boulogne vs Rouen?

Boulogne 1-2 Rouen in the France - National League 1 on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boulogne vs Rouen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boulogne win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Boulogne 44%, draw 26%, Rouen 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boulogne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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