Albacete 2-3 Burgos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 4 Apr 2026

Albacete
2-3 HT 1-2
Burgos
📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Albacete vs Burgos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.48
Over
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.12
No
52%
1.64
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.15
2-3
38%
1.75
4-5
18%
5.32
6+
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.61
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
13%
4.91
X/2
15%
5.89
X/X
15%
3.58
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
13%
4.76
2/X
6%
14.55
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Albacete v Burgos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgos The Market 34%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.51/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.28
-1% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
21.3 Crosses 15.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Albacete vs Burgos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Burgos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.67 xG 1.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
278 Passes 304
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.12.2025 Burgos Burgos 0-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
10.03.2025 Burgos Burgos 1-0 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
21.10.2024 Albacete Albacete 2-0 HT 2-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
28.01.2024 Burgos Burgos 2-1 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
16.09.2023 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
19.02.2023 Burgos Burgos 1-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2

Albacete 2-3 Burgos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
2-3
AWAY Burgos
0.51 xG 0.66
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
366 Passes 338
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Albacete vs Burgos
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Burgos shaded a tight game against Albacete 3-2 on their travels. Half-time: 1-2. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Burgos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (58%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Albacete had 53% of the ball to Burgos's 47%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.51 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albacete had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Albacete and 0.83 for Burgos.

Albacete vs Burgos Result & Final Score

Albacete 2-3 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Albacete vs Burgos Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Albacete 38%, draw 27%, Burgos 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Albacete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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