Eibar II 3-2 UD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 49%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
0.89/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.15
-16% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar II
2W-1D-0L
AWAY UD Logrones
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2025 UD Logrones UD Logrones 0-1 HT 0-1 Eibar II Eibar II İS4
02.03.2025 Eibar II Eibar II 1-0 HT 0-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS4
20.10.2024 UD Logrones UD Logrones 1-1 Eibar II Eibar II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar II
3-2
AWAY UD Logrones
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eibar II vs UD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar II edged past UD Logrones 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was UD Logrones at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eibar II had 40% of the ball to UD Logrones's 60%, shots finished 12-19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Eibar II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eibar II and 0.33 for UD Logrones.

What was the final score of Eibar II vs UD Logrones?

Eibar II 3-2 UD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar II vs UD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated an UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Eibar II 31%, draw 26%, UD Logrones 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UD Logrones), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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