Espanyol II 2-4 Castellon II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.53
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.07
Over 2.5
62%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
61%
+3.3pp
18%
Draw
22%
-3.7pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
44%
-6.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
56%
+6.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol II EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Castellon II EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.52/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/2.87
-13% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -53%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Castellon II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Castellon II 1-1 HT 0-1 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol II
2-4
AWAY Castellon II
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 21
8 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Espanyol II vs Castellon II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Castellon II beat Espanyol II 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Espanyol II at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Espanyol II had 37% of the ball to Castellon II's 63%, shots finished 12-21.

What was the final score of Espanyol II vs Castellon II?

Espanyol II 2-4 Castellon II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol II vs Castellon II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Espanyol II win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Espanyol II 64%, draw 18%, Castellon II 18%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Espanyol II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Espanyol II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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