Elche II 2-1 Rayo Vallecano II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.5pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Vallecano II EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.94/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.41
+20% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Rayo Vallecano II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
15 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2025 Rayo Vallecano II Rayo Vallecano II 0-2 HT 0-1 Elche II Elche II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche II
2-1
AWAY Rayo Vallecano II
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Elche II vs Rayo Vallecano II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche II edged past Rayo Vallecano II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Elche II as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Elche II had 59% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano II's 41%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Elche II vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Elche II 2-1 Rayo Vallecano II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche II vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elche II win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Elche II 52%, draw 22%, Rayo Vallecano II 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elche II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elche II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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