Atletico Astorga vs Lealtad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Astorga v Lealtad — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Astorga vs Lealtad Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Atletico Astorga 3-4 Lealtad — Actual Match Statistics
Lealtad squeezed past Atletico Astorga 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Atletico Astorga at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Atletico Astorga had 53% of the ball to Lealtad's 47%, shots finished 19-19.
What was the final score of Atletico Astorga vs Lealtad?
Atletico Astorga 3-4 Lealtad in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Astorga vs Lealtad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Astorga win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atletico Astorga 46%, draw 26%, Lealtad 28%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.