Malaga II 2-1 Real Jaen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
53%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.75
Over 2.5
61%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-2.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
53%
-13.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
47%
+13.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malaga II EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Jaen EU Bookmakers 59%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-1% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
228 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malaga II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Jaen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
3 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.01.2026 Real Jaen Real Jaen 3-0 HT 2-0 Malaga II Malaga II İS4
POST-MATCH Malaga II vs Real Jaen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malaga II edged past Real Jaen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Real Jaen at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Malaga II vs Real Jaen?

Malaga II 2-1 Real Jaen in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malaga II vs Real Jaen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Jaen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Malaga II 24%, draw 24%, Real Jaen 53%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Jaen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Jaen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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