Parnu JK Vaprus 0-2 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.8pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.40/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.63
-12% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-2 HT 1-2 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
25.07.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-2 HT 1-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
26.04.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
05.04.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-1 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
27.10.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-0 HT 0-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
02.09.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-4 HT 0-2 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
0-2
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harju Jalgpallikool beat Parnu JK Vaprus 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Harju Jalgpallikool made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 51% of the ball to Harju Jalgpallikool's 49%, shots finished 4-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parnu JK Vaprus had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 0.67 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Parnu JK Vaprus 0-2 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harju Jalgpallikool win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 36%, draw 24%, Harju Jalgpallikool 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harju Jalgpallikool), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Harju Jalgpallikool) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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