Pohang Steelers 1-0 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
20.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.57
1/2
11%
33.5
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
13%
5.2
X/2
10%
5.87
X/X
17%
4.06
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
10%
4.31
2/X
9%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
0.82/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.42
-43% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.9 Crosses 16.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
447 Passes 379
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-0 HT 2-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
05.10.2025 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-3 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
27.05.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-3 HT 1-2 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
15.02.2025 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-3 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
21.07.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-2 HT 1-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
15.06.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
1-0
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
428 Passes 247
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers edged past Daejeon Citizen 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Pohang Steelers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 61% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 39%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Citizen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pohang Steelers and 1.83 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Daejeon Citizen?

Pohang Steelers 1-0 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 39%, draw 31%, Daejeon Citizen 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pohang Steelers), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✓ Under 2.5
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