Gangwon 3-0 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.41
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.56
6+ Goals
6%
25.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.41 — our 34% vs market 33.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.09
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.4
X/1
23%
3.79
X/2
10%
10.6
X/X
14%
4.33
2/1
5%
28.0
2/2
7%
9.83
2/X
8%
18.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.9pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +23%
1.00/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.18
-44% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.3 Crosses 14.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Gwangju
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 Passes 389
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
25.05.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
13.04.2025 Gangwon Gangwon 1-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
18.08.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 3-2 HT 1-2 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
07.07.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 2-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
10.03.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 4-2 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gangwon
3-0
AWAY Gwangju
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 2
254 Passes 374
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon swept aside Gwangju 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gangwon as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gangwon had 44% of the ball to Gwangju's 56%, shots finished 19-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gangwon had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gangwon and 1.00 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs Gwangju?

Gangwon 3-0 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gangwon win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 51%, draw 29%, Gwangju 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gangwon), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gangwon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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