Gwangju 0-1 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
25%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.6pp
35%
Draw
31%
+3.9pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-4.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.0pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.14/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.40
-18% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.8 Crosses 16.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gangwon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
440 Passes 264
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2025 Gangwon Gangwon 1-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
18.08.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 3-2 HT 1-2 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
07.07.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 2-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
10.03.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 4-2 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
08.10.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
07.07.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
0-1
AWAY Gangwon
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
356 Passes 296
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon nicked a narrow win over Gwangju 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 35% / 26%) promised a tight game; Gangwon found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gwangju had 54% of the ball to Gangwon's 46%, shots finished 9-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gangwon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gwangju and 1.50 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Gangwon?

Gwangju 0-1 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 39%, draw 35%, Gangwon 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gwangju) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gwangju) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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