Gwangju 0-1 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
5.93
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.11
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
8%
14.45
X/1
14%
5.26
X/2
17%
5.35
X/X
19%
3.46
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
9%
4.21
2/X
4%
14.45
Value flag · 1/X at 14.45 — our 8% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.9pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.83/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.43
-7% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
10.9 Crosses 21.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Gangwon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
404 Passes 276
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
13.04.2025 Gangwon Gangwon 1-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
18.08.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 3-2 HT 1-2 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
07.07.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 2-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
10.03.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 4-2 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
08.10.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
0-1
AWAY Gangwon
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
278 Passes 388
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon squeezed past Gwangju 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Gangwon made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Gwangju had 43% of the ball to Gangwon's 57%, shots finished 5-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gangwon led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gwangju and 1.50 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Gangwon?

Gwangju 0-1 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 38%, draw 31%, Gangwon 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gwangju) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gwangju) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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